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McKinsey Global Economics Intelligence

Critical trends and risks in the global economy

Featured executive summaries

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Global Economics Intelligence executive summary, April 2023

– Inflation remains high while trending down; the International Monetary Fund lowered global growth projections to 2.8% for 2023; US banking sector challenges persist; output indicators in services stay strong.
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Global Economics Intelligence executive summary, February 2023
– Some economic indicators strengthen amid persisting inflation and investor uncertainty; central banks keep to a tightening course.
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Global Economics Intelligence executive summary, January 2023
– View the latest monthly executive summary on global economic intelligence. Get critical trends as well as insights on national and regional developments.
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Global Economics Intelligence executive summary, December 2022
– GDP forecasts improve; central banks sustain inflation battle amid cost-of-living crisis; China further eases pandemic restrictions, noting risks.
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Global Economics Intelligence executive summary, November 2022
– Industry and consumer activity sags under weight of inflation and higher interest rates; forecasting institutions trim GDP growth projections for 2023.
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Global Economics Intelligence executive summary, October 2022
– Growth rebounds in the United States and China; eurozone inflation reaches new heights as tightening continues; energy, climate reports paint a sober picture.
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Global Economics Intelligence executive summary, September 2022
– Central banks sustain aggressive policy tightening; industrial activity picks up in emerging economies; financial-markets uncertainty works to strengthen the dollar.
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Global Economics Intelligence executive summary, August 2022
– Growth moderates globally in an inflationary environment; the US Federal Reserve emphasizes its tightening course; Europe faces near-term energy volatility.
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Global Economics Intelligence executive summary, June 2022
– High energy prices stoke inflation; central banks chart tightening course; supply challenges persist and industry struggles to meet demand.
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Global Economics Intelligence executive summary, March 2022
– Amid high inflation, a pandemic, and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, surveyed economies display considerable resilience; trade is strong, and manufacturing and services continue to expand moderately.
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Global Economics Intelligence executive summary, February 2022
– Industry slowed in January amid high inflation and recent pandemic measures; trade remained buoyant; the Russian government’s invasion of Ukraine is causing a humanitarian crisis and economic risks.
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Global Economics Intelligence executive summary, January 2022
– Industry and trade in goods grow on strong consumer demand; the pandemic wave, inflation, and geopolitical tensions present risks to faster growth in 2022.
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Global Economics Intelligence executive summary, November 2021
– Industry indicators are broadly positive alongside persisting inflation; pandemic restrictions return to Europe; nations recommit to ambitious climate goals.
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Global Economics Intelligence executive summary, October 2021
– With rising vaccination rates, surveyed economies are reopening more fully; industry and trade are expanding despite the pandemic’s knock-on effects.
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Global Economics Intelligence executive summary, September 2021
– Rapid growth and strong demand bump against pandemic-related disruptions; energy prices surge, but long-term inflation expectations remain moderate.
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Global Economics Intelligence executive summary, July 2021
– Industrial activity strengthens and consumer demand returns while inflation accelerates; the pandemic wave worsens significantly
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Global Economics Intelligence executive summary, June 2021
– As the global economy emerges from the worst of the pandemic, strong growth returns, accompanied by inflation.
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Global Economics Intelligence executive summary, May 2021
– Amid the agonies of a second pandemic year, the recovery gathers further momentum; business leaders and policy makers ponder rising inflation.
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Global Economics Intelligence executive summary, April 2021
– A broad economic recovery continues to gather momentum—but against a backdrop of pandemic resurgence and a national crisis in India.
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Global Economics Intelligence executive summary, March 2021
– Amid a resurging pandemic, the economic recovery accelerates, pushed forward by demand and output from China and the United States.
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Global Economics Intelligence executive summary, February 2021
– Economic recovery is driven by manufacturing and trade, with surging demand from China; vaccination programs make progress, if slowly.
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Global Economics Intelligence executive summary, January 2021
– The economic recovery is exceeding expectations, but the pandemic has worsened; vaccination programs and the fight against the virus will dictate further progress.
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Global Economics Intelligence executive summary, December 2020
– A fast economic recovery, led by manufacturing and trade, is challenged by a resurgent pandemic; a Brexit deal is signed at the wire.

Economic conditions surveys

Survey

The coronavirus effect on global economic sentiment
– In the latest survey, inflation and geopolitical conflicts remain the top perceived economic risks, while concerns about energy... volatility predominate in Europe.
Article

What executives think about the economy: 2004 to now
– This continually updated interactive tracks how executives around the world have viewed economic conditions and the economic prospects... of their companies, and how those views have differed over time and across industries, regions, and types of company.
Article

In the tunnel: Executive expectations about the shape of the coronavirus crisis
– In this McKinsey survey, more than 2,000 executives around the world share their views on the likely impact of efforts to control... the virus and support economic recovery.

McKinsey Global Surveys

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