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Kersten Heineke


Coleads the McKinsey Center for Future Mobility and serves clients across the automotive industry, incumbent industries, mobility disruptors and investors

Kersten is a partner in the firm’s Frankfurt office. He dedicates his efforts on the future of mobility and serves clients in three main areas: the automotive industry, other incumbent industries, and mobility disruptors and investors in new mobility.

His focus areas are shared and autonomous mobility, micromobility, urban mobility, and business building around mobility topics.

Since Kersten joined McKinsey as a consultant, his work has primarily been in the mobility industry. Working with OEMs, suppliers, mobility providers, technology companies, cities, transport authorities, and financial investors, he specializes in the impact of disruptions on transportation. Kersten has expertise with connected cars, autonomous driving, and shared mobility, and leads much of our work on these issues.

Examples of his recent client work include the following:

  • reviewing the strategy and creation of investor stories and market models for more than 20 mobility start-ups and scale-ups
  • performing over 25 due diligences on different start-ups, scale-ups, and businesses in the mobility space
  • quantifying the global market for autonomous mobility services, including deep dives on archetypical cities for a European automotive tier-1 supplier
  • reviewing the mobility strategy for shared autonomous vehicles for a premium automotive OEM
  • building of an ecosystem business unit for a European e-bus manufacturer to provide cities with a holistic solution for charging infrastructure, consulting on route networks, and electrification strategies
  • defining the 2040 vision in mobility for a leading global automotive OEM
  • developing the strategy for autonomous driving and mobility for a Middle Eastern city
  • building up a mobility disruptor for a leading rolling-stock manufacturer
  • creating the mobility strategy and build-up of a new business unit for a German car-insurance company
  • creating a platform to support the day-to-day operations for a leading scale-up in advanced air mobility

Published work

Spotlight on mobility trends,” McKinsey & Company, March 2024

The micromobility city: Measuring the impact of greater bicycle use,” McKinsey & Company, January 2024

Autonomous vehicles moving forward: Perspectives from industry leaders,” McKinsey & Company, January 2024

How mobility budgets can change the future of transportation,” McKinsey & Company, October 2023

Consumer pull: The growth of shared urban mobility,” McKinsey & Company, June 2023

Electric kickscooters have come of age. Regulators have taken notice,” McKinsey & Company, June 2023

The future of mobility,” McKinsey & Company, April 2023

Future mobility 2022: Hype transitions into reality,” McKinsey & Company, March 2023

Autonomous driving’s future: Convenient and connected,” McKinsey & Company, January 2023

Shared mobility: Sustainable cities, shared destinies,” McKinsey & Company, January 2023

The metaverse: Driving value in the mobility sector,” McKinsey & Company, January 2023

Where does shared autonomous mobility go next?,” McKinsey & Company, January 2023

The two-wheeled commute: Micromobility and your future,” McKinsey & Company, September 2022

Germany’s 9€ ticket: A potential solution for urban-mobility issues,” McKinsey & Company, July 2022

The road to affordable autonomous mobility,” McKinsey & Company, January 2022

Mobility’s rebound: An industry recovers, but where is it heading?,” McKinsey & Company, December 2021

The e-kickscooter takes to the road: Understanding consumer-ownership preferences,” McKinsey & Company, December 2021

Why micromobility is here to stay,” McKinsey & Company, December 2021

Will VoloCity transform urban transportation?,” McKinsey & Company, November 2021

Advanced air mobility in 2030,” McKinsey & Company, November 2021

Shared mobility: Where it stands, where it’s headed,” McKinsey & Company, August 2021

Mobility investments in the next normal,” McKinsey & Company, March 2021

From no mobility to future mobility: Where COVID-19 has accelerated change,” McKinsey & Company, December 2020

Private autonomous vehicles: The other side of the robo-taxi story,” McKinsey & Company, December 2020

Five COVID-19 aftershocks reshaping mobility’s future,” McKinsey & Company, September 2020

The impact of COVID-19 on future mobility solutions,” McKinsey & Company, May 2020

ACES 2019 survey: Can established auto manufacturers meet customer expectations for ACES?,” McKinsey & Company, February 2020

Micromobility: Industry progress, and a closer look at the case of Munich,” McKinsey & Company, November 2019

Development in the mobility technology ecosystem—how can 5G help?,” McKinsey & Company, June 2019

Change vehicles: How robo-taxis and shuttles will reinvent mobility,” McKinsey & Company, June 2019

Reimagining mobility: A CEO’s guide,” McKinsey Quarterly, February 2019

Micromobility’s 15,000-mile checkup,” McKinsey & Company, January 2019

How mobility players can compete as the automotive revolution accelerates,” McKinsey & Company, October 2017

Self-driving car technology: When will the robots hit the road?,” McKinsey & Company, May 2017


University of St. Gallen
Masters, International Management

ESADE Business School in Barcelona
Masters, International Management