Digital technologies have transformed industries, from automotive to transportation to banking. Even agriculture, which has historically been slow to transform, has taken a huge leap toward digitalization.1 For a long time, the engineering and construction (E&C) industry was seen as less vulnerable to disruption. Industry fragmentation, a one-off approach to design-and-build projects, and a ready supply of manual labor kept the need for productivity improvement below that of other industries. This is changing fast: incumbents, new entrants, and investors alike are realizing the potential of technology to accelerate projects, reduce costs, and improve safety in a $10-trillion-a-year industry.
Contributing 13 percent of global GDP, construction is the largest industry in the world—and is primed to unlock significant value through productivity improvements. We already see new archetypes of successful players emerging, seeking to capture those benefits. Now is the time for E&C companies to make bold decisions on how and where to play in this exciting era.
How disruption in engineering and construction is playing out
The disruption of the E&C industry is exemplified by five movements:
- Unprecedented (and ever-growing) flows of capital into engineering and construction technology. From 2013 to 2018, investors poured $18 billion into E&C technology, compared with $9 billion over the previous five years.2 We expect growth to continue accelerating: for example, in August 2019, Brick & Mortar Ventures announced a $97.2 million construction-technology fund focused on design, construction, and operations and maintenance.
- A blossoming field of new technologies fueled by start-ups.3 Hundreds of start-ups throughout the supply chain have emerged, greatly accelerating the development of technologies such as digital twins, 3-D printing, augmented and virtual reality, machine learning, and lidar. These new technologies also include an expanded range of data platforms for E&C or supply chain information, such as is available through Schindler’s BuildingMinds and YTWO Formative. Such start-ups will have an impact on every aspect of E&C, from materials to contracts to design and simulation.4
- Corporate, large-scale tech M&A. Today, E&C technology M&A is nearing a five-year high, led by industry leaders such as Autodesk (BuildingConnected and PlanGrid), Oracle (Aconex and Textura), ProCore (Honest Buildings), and Trimble (e-Builder and Viewpoint). Much of this M&A represents horizontal growth, as the barrier is lower than going vertical due to the large and diverse customer base of the E&C industry. Done right, this M&A can simplify digital processes by eliminating the need for project stakeholders to navigate multiple software systems, as may otherwise happen when dealing with multiple applications at different stages.
- Public-sector demand for technology adoption, especially 4-D and 5-D building-information modelling (BIM). While there is still significant room for the public sector to provide incentives for E&C technology adoption, some governments are taking action to spur innovation on public projects.5 For instance, the UK government now requires level-two BIM and a preference for vendors that offer off-site construction. Deutsche Bahn, a German railway company, has introduced 5-D BIM solutions over the past five years.
- New technology companies showing growing interest in the engineering and construction market. For example, the Alphabet subsidiary Sidewalk Labs has entered the developer market, while Amazon is pursuing a role in the building-materials distribution market.6
Technological advancement alone is not causing disruption
There are broader factors at play in the disruption of the industry besides the new wave of technologies.
- Many developed economies are facing skills shortages, with E&C companies struggling to find skilled workers. At the same time, demand is growing, particularly in housing. For example, the United Kingdom needs about 300,000 new homes a year, underpinning demand for new building methods such as modular.7
- Fast-evolving owner and customer needs, which make future-proofing harder. Customers and other stakeholders are increasingly demanding flexibility of space (as exemplified by the likes of WeWork), lower-carbon construction, and smart infrastructure, for example.
- Pressure on traditional engineering and construction company business models, which are prone to lower margins and unforeseen issues such as write-offs. This pressure can raise the stakes on strategic bets, such as diversifying into services and development or taking on debt. When these strategic bets businesses fail, they create ripples throughout the economy. For example, several recent failures of major contractors in the United Kingdom have put large public projects at risk.
- The prospect of slowing economic growth, which will increase pressure to better manage costs and fluctuating demand.
New engineering and construction archetypes are emerging
All these developments are helping the industry unlock some of the $1.6 trillion of productivity gains that we identified in our 2016 report.8 In fact, first movers are already saving money, compressing schedules, and lowering asset lifecycle expenses.9
Despite the encouraging signs, much work remains to fulfill this enormous potential. Many firms are still in “pilot purgatory” and have not achieved any a significant competitive edge. Even some bold companies never make it past the pilot phase. Some companies are unable to launch their productivity programs at scale and struggle to establish organizational capabilities and governance, develop a data and analytics technology blueprint, or improve data quality and data life cycle management processes.
Players are experimenting with new archetypes to move forward and seize the rapidly expanding value (see box). These archetypes contrast with the traditional models of architect, engineer, specialist contractor, and design-and-build contractor. They are illustrative, and while there will be variants, the key question for incumbents is whether the traditional models will survive alongside the new archetypes—and, if so, in what form?
Disruption in the E&C industry is no longer coming—it is here. New E&C archetypes are emerging, but it is not clear how the industry will look in the future and what companies will win. What is clear is that the opportunity to capture value through gains in productivity are enormous, and incumbents and start-ups alike should consider where and how they can capture a slice of that value.