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Global Energy Markets

Unparalleled insight into the energy transition

Recent years have brought significant structural shifts to energy-demand drivers. Challenges such as slowing global economic growth, stricter greenhouse-gas-emission targets, unpredictable oil-and-gas geopolitics, and numerous technological breakthroughs have threatened existing business models. In response, decision makers across a range of industries are compelled to rethink their investment strategy, manage risks, and capture growth opportunities. Our team of energy-demand experts and our suite of integrated models provide a unique perspective on the dynamic energy transition, including specific insights on the transport, industrial, buildings, and power sectors.

Our tools

Global Energy Demand Model

The Global Energy Demand Model is a bottom-up model projecting the evolution of energy systems by country (for 145 countries), by sector (for 28 sectors), and by fuel (for 55 energy types) to 2050.

GEP Power Model

The GEP Power Model captures key dynamics and tipping points at a local level to project the speed and disruptive nature of the energy transition from the perspective of power systems.

Our research

Global Energy Perspective 2019

The Global Energy Perspective Reference Case provides our consensus view on how energy demand will evolve to 2050.

Global Energy Perspective: Accelerated Transition

Our outlook reviews eight potential shifts that could accelerate the energy transition—from faster uptake of electric vehicles to accelerated cost reduction for renewables—and the impact each shift could have on annual oil, gas, coal, and power demand to 2050.

Related insights

Article - McKinsey Quarterly

Climate math: What a 1.5-degree pathway would take

– Decarbonizing global business at scale is achievable, but the math is daunting.
Article

The future is now: How oil and gas companies can decarbonize

– As the pressure to act on climate change builds, the industry should consider a range of options.
Article

Toward a net-zero future: Decarbonizing upstream oil and gas operations

– To operate well is to operate responsibly—but more must be done on sustainable design and balanced portfolios to achieve a net-zero... future.
Podcast

Peak energy, peak oil, and the rise of renewables: An executive’s guide to the global energy system

– Global energy demand is headed toward a plateau over the next ten to 20 years, as the world focuses on electrification, energy... efficiency, and more service-driven economic growth.
Article

Recharging economies: The EV-battery manufacturing outlook for Europe

– As uptake of electric vehicles (EVs) increases, the EV-battery market represents an opportunity for European players. We assess... the potential and look at factors guiding the location of production capacity.

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