Autonomous mobility gains ground

Shared autonomous mobility is gaining momentum across the United States, with commercial robotaxi services expanding from just three cities in December 2024 to 15 by September 2026. McKinsey’s Ani Kelkar, Martin Kellner, Philipp Kampshoff, Timo Möller, and coauthors find that this rapid expansion signals a shift from early deployments toward broader commercial scaling. The number of US cities offering autonomous vehicle (AV) services is forecast to reach 20 by the end of 2026. It could double again to approximately 40 by December 2027 if adoption continues at its current pace. As shared AVs scale, stakeholders could capture value through strategic moves, such as partnering across capabilities to scale faster and reduce capital intensity.

Shared autonomous services are expanding rapidly in the United States.
Image description. Exhibit 1 Timeline showing the rapid expansion of commercial robotaxi services in the United States, from 3 cities in December 2024 to 6 in December 2025 and 15 in September 2026. The number is forecast to reach 20 cities by December 2026 and 40 by December 2027. Figures include services operating with or without a safety driver. Source: Company websites; press search; McKinsey Center for Future Mobility End of image description.

To read the article, see “From science fiction to reality: The next phase of shared autonomous mobility,” November 4, 2026.