1. Set the starting point

S&P 500 level

ie, at today's value

1,000
3,000
One of your scenarios cannot be plotted. Please adjust real growth to be less than the cost of capital.
Growth, CAGR,1 %
Nominal return
Real return
CAGR 0%0%0%
Simulated total returns to shareholders (TRS)
Years
1Compound annual growth rate.

2. Create your scenarios

Current market valuation +

at fair value, over, or under

–30%
30%

Years to revert to fair value +

ie, before market returns to normal

0
20

Real cost of capital +

over the next 20 years

5%
10%

Real growth +

over the next 20 years

–2%
5%

Inflation +

for first 5 years

–2%
10%

for following 15 years

–2%
5%