Welcome to the latest edition of MGI's research update
The energy productivity opportunity
Global energy demand growth will accelerate to 2.2 percent to 2020, driven mostly by developing countries and consumer uses such as residential and commercial buildings and transportation. Vast opportunities exist to curb demand growth by improving energy efficiency through investments that yield rates of return 10 percent or higher, but targeted interventions will be needed to achieve them.
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Wasted energy: How the United States can reach its energy productivity potential
Despite oil prices above historical levels, U.S. energy demand is likely to increase from rates seen in the recent past. Yet by capturing the potential available from existing technologies that pay for themselves in future energy savings, the United States could cap U.S. energy consumption, as well as its CO2 emissions, at today's levels by 2020.
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Leapfrogging to higher energy productivity in China
By taking advantage only of currently existing technologies that pay for themselves, China could further its ongoing efforts and reduce total energy demand in 2020 by as much as 23 percent. Lower energy demand would also mean that China could cut its projected oil imports by up to 15 percent and its CO2 emissions by at least 20 percent by 2020.
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The 'bird of gold': The rise of India's consumer market
If India continues on its current high-growth path, incomes will almost triple over the next two decades, and the country will climb from its position as today's 12th-largest consumer market to become the world's fifth-largest consumer market by 2025.
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The U.S. imbalancing act: Can the current account deficit continue?
Based on the likely actions of investors, the U.S. current account could well continue its current upward trend and grow to 9 percent of GDP over the next five years. To reduce the deficit to 0 to 3 percent of GDP would require a depreciation of some 20 to 30 percent from current levels, with surprising regional and sectoral implications.
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McKinsey Global Institute anthology series
Now available, a new collection of McKinsey Global Institute research, published by Harvard Business School Press, offers perspectives on offshoring, productivity, and what drives economic growth.
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MGI in the news
In the Financial Times, Diana Farrell, director, McKinsey Global Institute, and Ted Halstead, president and CEO, New America Foundation, make the case that a concerted effort to boost energy productivity—the level of output achieved from the energy consumed—could have spectacular results in the United States.
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Newsweek International featured MGI-authored articles on the rise of middle classes in China and India, based on our consumer-demand research.
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What's in the research pipeline
In coming months, we look forward to sharing new research on the rise of new participants in the global capital market, including petrodollars, Asian central banks, hedge funds, and private equity; U.S. baby boomer consumer trends through 2015; the financing of health care in Japan; productivity and competitiveness in Germany; and the impact of globalization on the evolution of wages in the United States and Germany.
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