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What will a significant reduction in the level of greenhouse gases entail?
Which approaches will be most effective, and how much will it cost to achieve
this goal?
To get a better understanding of the ways to cut emissions, the cost of each, and the reductions they could achieve—in other words, to provide facts for the debate—McKinsey has undertaken a multiyear research initiative to map the opportunities to reduce (or abate) greenhouse gas emissions. In 2007, we completed a broad-based global study. More recently, we have taken a focused look at what can be done at a national level in a number of different countries. We developed these for the U.S., U.K., Germany, Australia, Netherlands, and Sweden, and are currently developing cost curves in a dozen other countries, including several emerging markets (e.g., India, China, Brazil). In each case, we collaborated with leading companies, academics, industry associations, and nongovernmental organizations (NGOs) to assemble the best available data on abatement measures. The full reports for each can be found below:
 |  | | Greenhouse gas abatement potential in Poland |  | December 2009 All countries are looking into how to reduce their greenhouse gas emissions. Poland has significant potential to reduce its emissions, but seizing this potential will be a challenge. Fast and decisive action will be needed to realize this opportunity. | Download the English summary (PDF - 504 KB ) |
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 |  | | Pathways to an energy- and carbon-efficient Russia |  | December 2009 With energy-efficiency measures, Russia can grow GDP up to 6 percent per annum with no increase in energy consumption or carbon emissions. The report shows that by 2030 Russia could cut its energy usage by 23 percent and reduce its greenhouse gas emissions by 19 percent by implementing 60 economically attractive efficiency measures. At the same time, Russia could achieve its GDP growth aspirations while remaining at its current levels of energy consumption and emissions.
Download in English: Summary (PDF - 684 KB) or Full report (PDF - 2.39 MB)
Download in Russian: Summary (PDF - 524 KB) or Full report (PDF - 2.55 MB)
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 |  | | Greenhouse gas abatement potential in Israel |  | November 2009 Israel's overall GHG emission abatement potential is limited in comparison to that of other countries. This study identifies technical and behavioral abatement measures that could reduce Israel's expected doubling of GHG emissions by 2030 by almost three-quarters. The total net cost to the economy of implementing all technical measures would be approximately zero in 2030, but it requires action by all constituencies.
Download executive summary (English) (PDF - 176 KB) | Read the report (Hebrew) (PDF - 912 KB) |
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 |  | | Pathways to world-class energy efficiency in Belgium |  | April 2009 The report, prepared in collaboration with the Federation of Enterprises in Belgium (FEB-VBO) and built on McKinsey's global and national GHG-abatement cost curves, identifies theoretical energy savings potential in Belgium representing 29 percent of the business-as-usual (BAU) scenario or 105 million boe.
Download this report summary (PDF - 788 KB) | Download this report (PDF - 2.11 MB) |
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 |  | | China's green revolution: Prioritizing technologies to achieve energy and environmental sustainability |  | February 2009 Technologies commercially available today could help China to reduce its projected oil imports by up to 30 to 40 percent, cut demand for coal by 40 percent, and reduce greenhouse gases by up to 50 percent in 2030. | Launch this article (PDF - 4.64 MB) |
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 |  | | Pathways to a low-carbon economy |  | January 2009 Version 2 of the global greenhouse gas abatement cost curve It is possible to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by enough to contain global warming to two degrees Celsius, but only if all major regions and sectors take ambitious action within the next few years. | Read more |
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 |  | | Swiss greenhouse gas abatement cost curve |  | January 2009 Switzerland can reduce its own inland greenhouse gas emissions by up to 45 percent by the year 2030 with technical improvements in buildings, transportation, power generation, industry, and agriculture. | Launch this article (PDF - 1.07 MB) |
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 |  | | Costs and potentials for greenhouse gas abatement in the Czech Republic |  | November 2008 The abatement potential and costs of emission reduction in the Czech Republic will depend on the ability to capture energy-efficiency opportunities, the choice of power mix, and the future feasibility of carbon capture and storage. | Launch this article (PDF - 1 MB) |
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 |  | | Greenhouse gas abatement opportunities in Sweden |  | April 2008 Sweden already has among the lowest emissions per capita in the Western world. Over the long term, though, it still has significant options for further emission reduction.
| Launch this article (PDF - 2.28 MB) |
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 |  | | An Australian cost curve for greenhouse gas reduction |  | February 2008 This report provides a fact-based analysis on emission-reduction potential and the associated cost for the Australian economy. Its findings are that significant greenhouse gas reduction is achievable and affordable but requires urgent action to implement the full potential.
Launch this article (PDF - 276 KB)
| Launch this article (PDF - 668 KB) |
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 |  | | Climate change: Everyone's business—options for greenhouse gas reduction in the UK |  | November 2007 McKinsey was commissioned by the Confederation of British Industry (CBI) to produce an analysis of the options for greenhouse gas reduction in the United Kingdom. We have worked with industry experts, academics, and leading businesses, and this CBI Climate Change Task Force report shows that the United Kingdom's carbon reduction targets for 2020 are likely to be missed but that 2050 goals, while stretching, can be achieved at a manageable cost—provided a greater sense of urgency is now adopted by government, business, and consumers.
Read more on the CBI Web site
Read the executive summary (PDF - 228 KB)
Read the full report (PDF - 1.25 MB) | Appendix: McKinsey analysis (PDF - 209 KB) |
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|  |  | Inside the Climate Change Special Initiative |  |
 | Greenhouse gas abatement cost curves |  |
 | The McKinsey Quarterly |  |
 | Contact Information |  |
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